The Primacy of Doubt

From climate change to quantum physics, how the science of uncertainty can help predict and understand our chaotic world

Price: 845.00 INR

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ISBN:

9780192843609

Publication date:

29/03/2024

Paperback

320 pages

Price: 845.00 INR

We sell our titles through other companies
Disclaimer :You will be redirected to a third party website.The sole responsibility of supplies, condition of the product, availability of stock, date of delivery, mode of payment will be as promised by the said third party only. Prices and specifications may vary from the OUP India site.

ISBN:

9780192843609

Publication date:

29/03/2024

Paperback

320 pages

Tim Palmer

Discusses the failures of traditional models when predicting chaotic aspects of the world, and how ensemble prediction systems, developed by the author, can guide us in predicting extreme weather, climate change, economic collapse, pandemics, and perhaps human conflict too,Describes how the geometry of chaos allows us to understand why systems can be predictable most of the time, but spectacularly unpredictable on occasion,Proposes how the geometry of chaos may provide radical and profound interpretations of fundamental physics: quantum uncertainty, and the nature of the cosmos,Considers possible insights provided by the geometry of chaos into consciousness, free will, and even the nature of God

Rights:  OUP UK (INDIAN TERRITORY)

Tim Palmer

Description

A bold, visionary, and mind-bending exploration of how the geometry of chaos can explain our uncertain world—from weather and pandemics to quantum physics and free will

Covering a breathtaking range of topics—from climate change to the foundations of quantum physics, from economic modelling to conflict prediction, from free will to consciousness and spirituality—The Primacy of Doubt takes us on a unique journey through the science of uncertainty. A key theme that unifies these seemingly unconnected topics is the geometry of chaos: the beautiful and profound fractal structures that lie at the heart of much of modern mathematics. Royal Society Research Professor Tim Palmer shows us how the geometry of chaos not only provides the means to predict the world around us, it suggests new insights into some of the most astonishing aspects of our universe and ourselves. This important and timely book helps the reader makes sense of uncertainty in a rapidly changing world.


Tim Palmer, Royal Society Research Professor in Climate Physics, University of Oxford

Tim Palmer is a Royal Society Research Professor in the Department of Physics at the University of Oxford. Following a PhD in general relativity theory, he spent much of his career working on the predictability and dynamics of weather and climate, developing probabilistic ensemble prediction systems across a range of weather and climate timescales. He also researches the foundations of quantum physics, in addition to applications of quantum and imprecise computing. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society and an International Member of the US National Academy of Sciences. Amongst other awards, he has won the Institute of Physics Dirac Gold Medal, and the top medals of the American and European Meteorological Societies.

Tim Palmer

Table of contents

Introduction
Part I: The Science of Uncertainty
1:Chaos, Chaos Everywhere
2:The Geometry of Chaos
3:Noisy, Million-Dollar Butterflies
4:Quantum Uncertainty: Reality Lost?
Part II: Predicting our Chaotic World
5:The Two Roads to Monte Carlo
6:Climate Change: Catastrophe or Just Lukewarm?
7:Pandemics
8:Financial Crashes
9:Deadly Conflict and the Digital Ensemble of Spaceship Earth
10:Decisions! Decisions!
Part III: Understanding the Chaotic Universe and our Place in it
11:Quantum Uncertainty: Reality Regained?
12:Our Noisy Brains
13:Free Will, Consciousness, and God

Tim Palmer

Tim Palmer

Tim Palmer

Description

A bold, visionary, and mind-bending exploration of how the geometry of chaos can explain our uncertain world—from weather and pandemics to quantum physics and free will

Covering a breathtaking range of topics—from climate change to the foundations of quantum physics, from economic modelling to conflict prediction, from free will to consciousness and spirituality—The Primacy of Doubt takes us on a unique journey through the science of uncertainty. A key theme that unifies these seemingly unconnected topics is the geometry of chaos: the beautiful and profound fractal structures that lie at the heart of much of modern mathematics. Royal Society Research Professor Tim Palmer shows us how the geometry of chaos not only provides the means to predict the world around us, it suggests new insights into some of the most astonishing aspects of our universe and ourselves. This important and timely book helps the reader makes sense of uncertainty in a rapidly changing world.


Tim Palmer, Royal Society Research Professor in Climate Physics, University of Oxford

Tim Palmer is a Royal Society Research Professor in the Department of Physics at the University of Oxford. Following a PhD in general relativity theory, he spent much of his career working on the predictability and dynamics of weather and climate, developing probabilistic ensemble prediction systems across a range of weather and climate timescales. He also researches the foundations of quantum physics, in addition to applications of quantum and imprecise computing. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society and an International Member of the US National Academy of Sciences. Amongst other awards, he has won the Institute of Physics Dirac Gold Medal, and the top medals of the American and European Meteorological Societies.

Table of contents

Introduction
Part I: The Science of Uncertainty
1:Chaos, Chaos Everywhere
2:The Geometry of Chaos
3:Noisy, Million-Dollar Butterflies
4:Quantum Uncertainty: Reality Lost?
Part II: Predicting our Chaotic World
5:The Two Roads to Monte Carlo
6:Climate Change: Catastrophe or Just Lukewarm?
7:Pandemics
8:Financial Crashes
9:Deadly Conflict and the Digital Ensemble of Spaceship Earth
10:Decisions! Decisions!
Part III: Understanding the Chaotic Universe and our Place in it
11:Quantum Uncertainty: Reality Regained?
12:Our Noisy Brains
13:Free Will, Consciousness, and God